<\/span> <\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f46\u670819\u65e5\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4e3e\u884c2022\u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f6e\u6295\u7968\u3002\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u4e8b\u767b\u8bb0\u5904\u5f53\u5929\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u8ba1\u7968\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5bf999.57%\u9009\u7968\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u73b0\u5e7462\u5c81\u7684\u5de6\u7ffc\u7ade\u9009\u8054\u76df\u201c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5386\u53f2\u516c\u7ea6\u8054\u76df\u201d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u53e4\u65af\u5854\u6c83\u00b7\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u548c\u72ec\u7acb\u53c2\u9009\u4eba\u9c81\u9053\u592b\u00b7\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a50.48%\u548c47.26%\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u9886\u5148\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u8fd172\u4e07\u5f20\u9009\u7968\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u8be5\u56fd\u9996\u4f4d\u5de6\u7ffc\u603b\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f42022\u5e745\u670829\u65e5\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6ce2\u54e5\u5927\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u6761\u7ea6\u8054\u76df\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u53e4\u65af\u5854\u6c83\u00b7\u5f7c\u5f97\u7f57\u5728\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u4ed6\u7684\u9009\u7968\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u53e6\u636e\u592e\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u5927\u9009\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ed3\u679c\u5c06\u57286\u670823\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6c11\u4f17\u666e\u904d\u671f\u5f85\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u516c\u5171\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u533b\u7597\u7684\u6295\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5de6\u7ffc\u201c\u96c6\u7ed3\u53f7\u201d\u5728\u62c9\u7f8e\u91cd\u65b0\u5439\u54cd\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5468\u5fd7\u4f1f\u5411\u6f8e\u6e43\u65b0\u95fb\uff08www.thepaper.cn\uff09\u5206\u6790\u79f0\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u7684\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u62c9\u7f8e\u5927\u73af\u5883\u548c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5c0f\u73af\u5883\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u54e5\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u4fc3\u5176\u83b7\u80dc<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e6\u670819\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u603b\u7edf\u675c\u514b\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u4e0a\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u4ed6\u5df2\u81f4\u7535\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176\u80dc\u9009\u8868\u793a\u795d\u8d3a\uff0c\u675c\u514b\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e24\u4eba\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6570\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u4f1a\u6664\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u6743\u529b\u7684\u548c\u5e73\u4ea4\u63a5\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u53e6\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51\uff08CNN\uff096\u670819\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u5728\u5f53\u665a\u7684\u80dc\u9009\u611f\u8a00\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u4e0e\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\u6301\u5f00\u653e\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u547c\u5401\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u9879\u5168\u56fd\u6027\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u7ed3\u675f\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u66b4\u529b\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u201c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6bd5\u751f\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u6b64\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u8a93\u8a00\u8981\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8fdb\u884c\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u9769\u3002\u636e\u592e\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e3b\u5f20\u8fdb\u884c\u7a0e\u6539\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5bf9\u5bcc\u88d5\u9636\u5c42\u7684\u5f81\u7a0e\u6807\u51c6\uff1b\u8fdb\u884c\u571f\u5730\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u519c\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\uff1b\u52a0\u5f3a\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u77f3\u6cb9\u5f00\u91c7\u7b49\u3002\u5bf9\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u548c\u5e73\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u9075\u5faa\u5e76\u843d\u5b9e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u548c\u5e73\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u53cd\u653f\u5e9c\u6b66\u88c5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u201c\u6c11\u65cf\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u201d\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u80fd\u4ee5\u8fd172\u4e07\u7968\u7684\u8f83\u5927\u4f18\u52bf\u51fb\u8d25\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5927\u4ea8\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u4e9b\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e24\u4eba\u5728\u9009\u524d\u6c11\u8c03\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u52bf\u5747\u529b\u654c\u3002CNN\u520a\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5e94\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4e0d\u65ad\u6076\u5316\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u968f\u7740\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u6301\u7eed\u53ca\u4fc4\u4e4c\u51b2\u7a81\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u66f4\u52a0\u582a\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u201c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u8fed\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002\u201d\u5468\u5fd7\u4f1f\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\uff0c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5dee\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5176\u793e\u4f1a\u77db\u76fe\u5904\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u5c16\u9510\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u201d\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u79d8\u9c81\u3001\u667a\u5229\u3001\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7b49\u56fd\u76f8\u7ee7\u53d1\u751f\u793e\u4f1a\u52a8\u8361\u3002\u4e24\u6781\u5206\u5316\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8d2b\u56f0\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u5de6\u7ffc\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5927\u73af\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u5177\u4f53\u5230\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672c\u56fd\u7684\u5c0f\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u5468\u5fd7\u4f1f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u675c\u514b\u6267\u653f\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4e4f\u672f\uff0c\u201c\u4ece\u8d2b\u56f0\u7387\u60c5\u51b5\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6bd4\u62c9\u7f8e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u52a0\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u636e\u6b64\u524d\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u81f4\u4f7f\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u53cd\u8d2b\u56f0\u52aa\u529b\u5012\u9000\u4e86\u81f3\u5c11\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a5160\u4e07\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u670937%\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u6bcf\u6708\u751f\u6d3b\u8d39\u4e0d\u523089\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u7ea6\u5408\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01593\u5143\uff09\u30022020\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u66f4\u662f\u9ad8\u8fbe42.5%\u3002\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u9009\u6c11\u56e0\u800c\u4f53\u73b0\u51fa\u66f4\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\u7684\u6539\u9769\u610f\u613f\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u66fe\u906d\u76d1\u7981\u7684\u5de6\u7ffc\u6e38\u51fb\u961f\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u636eCNN\u548c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u300a\u5468\u672b\u300b\uff08Semana\uff09\u6742\u5fd7\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f571960\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5317\u90e8\u57ce\u9547\u8c22\u7eb3\u52a0\u5fb7\u5965\u7f57\uff08Ci\u00e9naga de Oro\uff09\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa60\u81f370\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5728\u53e4\u5df4\u9769\u547d\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u5f88\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u6e38\u51fb\u961f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u91c7\u53d6\u6b66\u88c5\u6597\u4e89\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u63a8\u7ffb\u6240\u5728\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u4e5f\u4e8e17\u5c81\u65f6\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u5de6\u7ffc\u6e38\u51fb\u961f\u201c4\u670819\u65e5\u8fd0\u52a8\u201d\uff08M19\uff09\uff0c\u8be5\u6e38\u51fb\u961f\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u6297\u8bae1970\u5e74\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u7684\u821e\u5f0a\u6307\u63a7\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000CNN\u62a5\u9053\u6307\u51fa\uff0cM19\u66fe\u6d89\u5acc\u8fdb\u884c\u901a\u8fc7\u7ed1\u67b6\u52d2\u7d22\u8d4e\u91d1\u7b49\u975e\u6cd5\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u6240\u4ece\u4e8b\u7684\u662f\u5408\u6cd5\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u52a8\u5458\u6c11\u4f17\u53cd\u6297\u201c\u865a\u5047\u6c11\u4e3b\u201d\u3002\u300a\u5468\u672b\u300b\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u540e\u5728M19\u664b\u5347\u4e3a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u57281981\u5e74\u5f53\u9009\u4e3a\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4e2d\u90e8\u9521\u5e15\u57fa\u62c9\u5e02\uff08Zipaquir\u00e1\uff09\u6c11\u60c5\u8c03\u67e5\u5458\uff0c\u5e76\u5f53\u9009\u4e3a1984\u5e74\u81f31986\u5e74\u7684\u9521\u5e15\u57fa\u62c9\u5e02\u5e02\u8bae\u5458\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u4e0d\u8fc71985\u5e74\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8b66\u65b9\u4ee5\u201c\u85cf\u533f\u6b66\u5668\u201d\u7684\u7f6a\u540d\u902e\u6355\u4e86\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0cM19\u5bf9\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u5927\u697c\u53d1\u52a8\u4e86\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u81f3\u5c1198\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c11\u4eba\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u4e0b\u843d\u4e0d\u660e\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u6b63\u5728\u76d1\u7981\u4e2d\u7684\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u5426\u8ba4\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0e\u6b64\u6b21\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6709\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u30001987\u5e74\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u5728\u5165\u72f118\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\u83b7\u91ca\uff0c\u5176\u653f\u6cbb\u89c2\u70b9\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u8ba9\u4ed6\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u6b66\u88c5\u9769\u547d\u5e76\u975e\u8d62\u5f97\u6c11\u4f17\u652f\u6301\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u30001989\u5e74\uff0cM19\u4e0e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u548c\u5e73\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u4e5f\u8f6c\u5165\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u6597\u4e89\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u30002006\u5e74\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u6210\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u30022012\u5e74\u52302015\u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u6b21\u51fa\u4efb\u6ce2\u54e5\u5927\u5e02\u957f\u3002\u62c5\u4efb\u9996\u90fd\u5e02\u957f\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u53cd\u8150\u548c\u516c\u5171\u4e8b\u4e1a\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u6253\u51fb\u72af\u7f6a\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u63a7\u67aa\u4ee4\uff0c\u6ce2\u54e5\u5927\u5e02\u7684\u51f6\u6740\u7387\u4e00\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u8fd120\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u30002010\u5e74\u548c2018\u5e74\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u4e24\u6b21\u7ade\u9009\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u603b\u7edf\u4f46\u5747\u672a\u6210\u529f\u30022010\u5e74\uff0c\u5176\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c4\u30022018\u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ee525%\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u8f93\u7ed9\u4e86\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u73b0\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u675c\u514b\u3002<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u6267\u653f\u540e\u653f\u7b56\u6599\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u6e29\u548c<\/p>\n 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Cuellar\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5341\u51e0\u4e2a\u653f\u515a\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8bae\u4f1a\u62e5\u6709\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u201c\u652f\u79bb\u7834\u788e\u7684\u8bae\u4f1a\u201d\u5c06\u5bf9\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u65bd\u653f\u5f62\u6210\u5236\u7ea6\u3002\u201c\u7ade\u9009\u4e0d\u662f\u6267\u653f\uff0c\u4f69\u7279\u7f57\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u4f1a\u66f4\u6e29\u548c\u201d\u3002\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ed6\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u6765\u5b9e\u65bd\u6539\u9769\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n \u3000\u3000\u53e6\u636e\u6cd5\u65b0\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u98ce\u9669\u5206\u6790\u201d\uff08Colombia Risk Analysis\uff09\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8\u603b\u88c1\u585e\u5c14\u5409\u5965\u00b7\u53e4\u65af\u66fc\uff08Sergio 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